Kesan Berita Ekonomi Terhadap Pasaran aussie 09

NEWS TRADING

Tuesday October 27, 2009

WEDNESDAY [8:30am]

0.9% Forecast

0.5% Previ0us

AU CPI q/q BUY 1.2% SELL 0.6% AUD/USD

Our focus will be on the quarterly CPI release out of Australia. As
stated in recent RBA announcements, Australia is facing possible
rise in inflation, and this number could surprise to the upside.
RBA hiked rates a few weeks ago and surprised the market, this will
be the justification for that rate hike. Therefore, If we get a
better than expected CPI data, we should see an instant appreciation
of AUD by at least of 40 pips within the hour, but if we get a worse
than expected number, AUD should drop as traders will be confused
over RBA's decision, and we should expect market to consolidate. Of
course, the deviation that I am looking for must be at least 0.3%,
or I will skip the trade.

SENTIMENT NAGETIF mencengkam maket hari ini kerana

1. fed akan memansuhkan tax credit untuk pembeli rumah.

2. harga minyak jatuh lebih dari 2%

maka dgn itu kebayakan pelabur mengambil kesempatan utuk menutup long position mereka. maka,

profit taking/pull back akan berlaku

GU: dijangka turun sebelum naik, gunakan buy area sebaiknya

GJ: pun dijangka turun sebelum naik

EU: tengah naik, pantau harga gold untuk entry kerana risk aversion dlam bentuk gold buying mungkin akan berlaku